According to analysts, Russian forces are taking advantage of Ukraine’s lack of ammunition and the inability of the Ukrainian armed forces to engage in sufficient combat against artillery.
The Ukraine-based organization “Frontelligence Insight” reported on February 1 that Russian forces previously established stationary artillery firing positions for a long time from the end of 2022 to the beginning of 2023, when the lack of ammunition limited Ukraine’s ability to fight against enemy artillery. “Frontelligence Insight” reports that the Russian forces began to concentrate their artillery in a similar way in January 2024, which indicates that the Ukrainian forces again lack artillery ammunition.
According to the Main Intelligence Directorate (HUR) of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Ukrainian forces can occasionally engage Russian artillery, but generally lack sufficient ammunition to effectively counter enemy artillery.
Also, many of Ukraine’s drones do not have sufficient range to attack Russian artillery deployed 15 to 24 kilometers from the front line.
“ISW continues to assess that the lack of artillery and delays in Western security assistance will create uncertainty in Ukraine’s operational plans and likely force Ukrainian forces to conserve materiel, which may force Ukrainian forces to make difficult decisions about prioritizing certain sectors of the front,” the analysts conclude.